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$begingroup$ I'm considering making a GAM which contains a cleaning soap film smoother that may also fluctuate in time. Down below is an instance using synthetic data.

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if cross-correlation is the correct statistic right here or regardless of whether I ought to use Several other style of design?

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Hope that helps. I'm fearful I don't work in SPSS so I can not help you there (I do the job in R myself). If you can find a method to in good shape ARMA products in SPSS and have the residuals, you ought to be capable of utilize the cross-correlation functionality within the residuals to your statistic.